Shares of Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI) surged 25% on Monday after JPMorgan Chase & Co. announced plans to invest $10 billion across 27 strategic sectors, including quantum computing  as part of its new “Security and Resiliency Initiative.”

The news ignited a wave of buying across the quantum technology space, with investors piling into pure-play names such as Rigetti, D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), and IonQ (IONQ). The move signals renewed institutional attention toward the fast-evolving field of next-generation computing and reignites debate over whether these stocks are built on breakthroughs or hype.

Brokers from Orbisolyx dive into the rally and what it may mean for investors eyeing exposure to the quantum frontier.

Quantum Computing Takes the Spotlight

Rigetti’s 25% surge on Monday came amid a broader market rally, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.56% and the Nasdaq Composite climbing 2.21%, but the quantum computing firm’s move far outpaced the benchmarks. 

The spike followed JPMorgan Chase’s announcement of a sweeping $10 billion “Security and Resiliency Initiative,” targeting 27 high-priority sectors, including quantum computing. The inclusion of quantum technology in such a major strategic investment program marked a notable endorsement of the field’s long-term potential.

In a statement, JPMorgan Chase’s CEO Jamie Dimon said the initiative is designed to strengthen America’s “economic and technological security” by modernizing infrastructure, fortifying supply chains, and accelerating innovation. For investors, Dimon’s recognition of quantum computing as a cornerstone of future competitiveness signals rising institutional confidence in the technology’s eventual commercial impact and helps explain why Rigetti’s stock became one of the day’s standout gainers across global markets..

A Meteoric Year for Rigetti

Rigetti’s extraordinary ascent over the past year has captured Wall Street’s attention and underscored investor hunger for exposure to cutting-edge technologies. With shares up more than 6,000%, the once-obscure quantum computing firm has become a lightning rod for speculative capital. Yet, beneath the euphoria lies a fragile foundation. 

Rigetti generated less than $8 million in trailing-12-month revenue against a staggering $17 billion valuation, a ratio that defies traditional valuation metrics. The company continues to invest heavily in R&D to advance its superconducting quantum processors, but profitability remains distant, and consistent commercial adoption has yet to materialize despite technological progress.

Between Promise and Hype

The enthusiasm surrounding Rigetti Computing evokes memories of previous waves of technological exuberance from the dot-com boom of the late 1990s to the electric vehicle rush of the past decade. Each of those revolutions began with visionary breakthroughs and soaring valuations but ultimately required years of refinement before achieving lasting commercial success. 

The same dynamic now appears to be unfolding in quantum computing. While the field promises to redefine the boundaries of computation, experts caution that it remains far from practical deployment.

According to analysts, the sector is still in an “early experimental phase,” where engineering, error correction, and scalability challenges outweigh short-term monetization prospects. Rigetti’s efforts, including collaborations with aerospace and defense contractors, reflect legitimate technological momentum but have yet to translate into consistent revenue streams or a clear path to profitability. The company’s valuation, now exceeding $17 billion, is therefore being driven more by investor optimism than by measurable business fundamentals.

For now, Rigetti sits at the intersection of innovation and speculation, embodying both the excitement and the risks that define the early stages of emerging technologies. The coming years will reveal whether it can evolve from a research pioneer into a sustainable industry leader..

The Orbisolyx View

Our view is that Rigetti’s surge represents a momentum-driven move rather than a fundamentals-based revaluation. The stock remains one of the most volatile in the deep-tech sector, with sentiment swings often outpacing the company’s operational progress.

The JPMorgan initiative provides much-needed validation for the industry’s potential, but it does not materially alter Rigetti’s near-term outlook. For long-term investors, the company’s success will depend on whether it can turn technical promise into sustainable, scalable business value.

Technical Overview

Rigetti shares closed near $3.60, their highest level since September, after surging as much as 28% intraday. The stock now faces resistance at $3.90 and support near $2.85.

Trading volume was more than four times the 30-day average, reflecting heightened speculative activity. The 14-day RSI remains above 70, signaling overbought conditions and the potential for a short-term pullback.

Unless the company follows the rally with concrete partnership or revenue updates, profit-taking could drive shares back toward the mid-$2 range.

Bottom Line

Rigetti’s 25% surge highlights how quickly sentiment can swing in frontier tech sectors. While JPMorgan’s quantum investment plans shine a spotlight on the industry, Rigetti remains a high-risk, high-reward play, one driven more by future potential than present fundamentals.

 

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